DataComa Alert: When a footnote wipes out a forecast.
By Dr. Anju Sharma | MrsSustainability | KtalystInsights
On 3 Dec 2025, Nature retracted a widely-cited climate-economy paper.
Same day, NGFS warned users to interpret its climate stress-test outputs knowing this paper was used.
What went wrong isn’t “climate.
It’s Model Risk + DataComa.
✓ One high-impact study
✓ One embedded damage function
✓ Many dashboards turned “uncertainty” into “certainty
✓ Then—retraction.
Board rule: If your scenario has one academic spine, it’s not resilience. It’s a narrative.
KtalystInsights:
Climate risk is real. But risk math must be resilient too with ranges, sensitivity, and competing models, not just a headline number.
When certainty is cheap, always ask who paid for the assumptions.” Dr. Anju Sharma
Originally published on LinkedIn on 2025-12-19 11:47:00: https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn%3Ali%3Ashare%3A7407748285416955904
